How long can capital remain locked when a Polymarket market is disputed?

What the measured evidence supports

When disputed at UMA, a Polymarket market runs about two resolution cycles regardless of category — an estimated 103–120 hours locked at UMA's ~60-hour cycle cadence (high-volume sample; magnitude is sample-dependent). What varies is how often a category disputes (Geopolitics 33.9% vs Sports 0.4%), so the per-dispute lockup is roughly fixed while the frequency is what moves the exposure.

The figures describe the measured sample and the coverage stated by the methodology, not the whole population. Where coverage is partial, the gap is declared rather than estimated.

Readers and agents can inspect the companion dataset, follow the public methodology, and query the API from the links below.

This answer applies only to the observed sample, measurement window, and coverage stated by the linked methodology.

Interpretation should preserve the caveats attached to every used claim rather than generalize beyond available coverage.