Resolution Watch · measured as of 2026-07-30

Do the Polymarket categories that dispute most also flip most?

An evidence-bound answer built from the latest validated measurement and its declared limits.

What the measured evidence supports

On Polymarket, dispute-rate and flip-rate rank categories in opposite orders: Geopolitics disputes most but flips only 17.5%; Sports rarely disputes but flips 31.1% when it does.

This answer applies only to the observed sample, measurement window, and coverage stated by the linked methodology.

Readers and agents can inspect the companion dataset, follow the public methodology, and query the API from the links below.

Interpretation should preserve the caveats attached to every used claim rather than generalize beyond available coverage.